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Author Topic: Colombian Economy  (Read 1215 times)

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Offline satori

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Colombian Economy
« on: March 11, 2009, 05:32:01 PM »
Somehow, I don't think this a positive for the country.

BOGOTA (Dow Jones)--The Colombian government may increase its borrowing from markets in 2009, Finance Minister Oscar Ivan Zuluaga said Wednesday.

If economic growth is lower than the 3% target and if tax collection is lower than forecast, the government will have to tap local or international markets, Zuluaga told reporters after delivering a lecture in Bogota.

"Colombia has room for more borrowing without affecting its curve of debt sustainability in the medium and long term. There is credibility towards Colombia's management of its debt," Zuluaga said.

He said the government may also decide to pre-finance its 2010 budget by selling debt on the markets later this year.

Offline PainfullyObvious

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Re: Colombian Economy
« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2009, 12:41:52 PM »
The problem with selling debt, is the world is running out of buyers. 

Offline no comment

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Re: Colombian Economy
« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2009, 10:37:07 PM »
Satori,
I seem to recall that you've posted something about currencies in the past. Do you have any thoughts about the dollar's strength and its value against the Peruvian Sol or Colombian Peso in the months to come?

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Re: Colombian Economy
« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2009, 10:37:07 PM »

Offline satori

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Re: Colombian Economy
« Reply #3 on: March 16, 2009, 06:10:20 PM »
No Comment,

I follow these countries a little due to my own personal interest, but they aren't the main markets I follow (unfortunately).  The USD has rallied due to safe haven buying and the credit crisis (credit is still tight and LIBOR rates have ratcheted up again).  Countries that depend primarily on commodities for income, like Peru, have seen their currency decline as the demand for commodities has declined (and the speculative bubble burst).  There's a double whammy with this as projects to expand the commodity base are cancelled (building roads, processing plants etc. which formerly employed other workers in the country and increased demand for the currency).  I am not sure about Colombia, but I would imagine a decline in outsourcing from Brazil, a decline in some of their main exports (coffee, flowers), and the emerging market status has negatively impacted them.  Emerging markets have been hit hard by capital outflows as they are more levered to the US economy and the downturn their will be several mutliples of what it is in the US (exacerbated of course by the lack of financial wherewithal of their citizens to help them whether a downturn and cushion declines in spending).  Little longwinded, but I'm sure you get the jist.

 

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